Estimating Based on Conditions
What is your best estimate for the probability that it is cloudy one minute from now given your measurement of the current weather?
P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.05
0.05 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.20
0.20 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.40
0.40 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.60
0.60 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.80
0.80 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.95
P(cloudy | measurement) > 0.95
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